Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 0.000143 0.000159 0.000177 0.000196 0.000219 0.000242 0.000270
2025-10-05 0.000119 0.000141 0.000166 0.000195 0.000231 0.000272 0.000322
2025-10-12 0.000104 0.000130 0.000160 0.000199 0.000248 0.000307 0.000384
2025-10-19 0.000091 0.000119 0.000153 0.000199 0.000260 0.000337 0.000442
2025-10-26 0.000081 0.000109 0.000147 0.000199 0.000270 0.000365 0.000500
2025-11-02 0.000072 0.000101 0.000140 0.000198 0.000279 0.000391 0.000557
2025-11-09 0.000065 0.000095 0.000136 0.000198 0.000289 0.000418 0.000618
2025-11-16 0.000059 0.000088 0.000130 0.000196 0.000295 0.000441 0.000674
2025-11-23 0.000054 0.000083 0.000126 0.000195 0.000303 0.000467 0.000736
2025-11-30 0.000050 0.000079 0.000123 0.000195 0.000312 0.000495 0.000803
2025-12-07 0.000046 0.000074 0.000118 0.000193 0.000317 0.000516 0.000862
2025-12-14 0.000043 0.000072 0.000117 0.000196 0.000330 0.000551 0.000946
2025-12-21 0.000040 0.000068 0.000115 0.000197 0.000341 0.000583 0.001029
2025-12-28 0.000037 0.000065 0.000112 0.000197 0.000348 0.000611 0.001107
2026-01-04 0.000035 0.000063 0.000111 0.000200 0.000364 0.000654 0.001217
2026-01-11 0.000033 0.000061 0.000109 0.000201 0.000374 0.000688 0.001311
2026-01-18 0.000031 0.000058 0.000107 0.000201 0.000381 0.000718 0.001403
2026-01-25 0.000029 0.000055 0.000104 0.000199 0.000387 0.000745 0.001491
2026-02-01 0.000027 0.000053 0.000101 0.000199 0.000396 0.000778 0.001592
2026-02-08 0.000026 0.000051 0.000098 0.000197 0.000400 0.000801 0.001677
2026-02-15 0.000024 0.000049 0.000096 0.000197 0.000406 0.000831 0.001778
2026-02-22 0.000023 0.000047 0.000095 0.000197 0.000415 0.000867 0.001893
2026-03-01 0.000021 0.000045 0.000092 0.000195 0.000419 0.000891 0.001986